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OT : Groundhogs Day
There seems to be SOME truth to the groundhog story, but only SOME.
In a given location, if the sky is clear at this time of year, the chances are higher that this is a result of a local or national high pressure system. It is these high pressure systems that in winter bring down the cold polar air. So, there is a tendency to still be in the cold, mostly dry part of Winter (usually lower water content in the atmosphere). If the sky is cloudy, then at least locally, we are more likely to be starting the Spring wet season, where low pressure systems carry clouds and moisture/rain. Of course, the caveats are Local vs National weather conditions and Local vs National groundhog observations. Which groundhog, and his/her geographical setting, will you use, or will you use a better statistical sampling? Setting aside the fact that in Pennsylvania the groundhog didn't see his shadow, but in Iowa, the groundhog did see her shadow (sexual equality ought to apply even to weather predictors :-) ----- then the clouds and rain in eary February COULD mean that Spring is brewing. Clear and cold COULD mean that we're still in "real" Winter. In Iowa, the 2 week forecast is much colder than normal so she could be right too. How to pick the groundhog and his/her geographical location or locations which best samples the national weather patterns is unclear at this time. Real winter means you could have extra carb cravings, so you better watch out. Jim |
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Groundhogs Day
"Jbuch" wrote
There seems to be SOME truth to the groundhog story, but only SOME. I thought it rather curious that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released its report on Groundhog's Day. I wonder if it was a coincidence or not... -- Bob http://www.kanyak.com |
#3
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Groundhogs Day
Opinicus wrote:
"Jbuch" wrote There seems to be SOME truth to the groundhog story, but only SOME. I thought it rather curious that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released its report on Groundhog's Day. I wonder if it was a coincidence or not... Well, the report almost certainly got a chilly reception in the George W Bush Whitehouse. So, we know the political forecast is against warming. Still. Did you know that Groundhog's Day is almost exactly halfway between the Winter Solstice and the Spring Equinox? And the IPCC had scheduled the data of release earlier as a firm deadline sometime earlier. It makes SOME sense to believe that the date has climatological significance. Jim |
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OT : Groundhogs Day
On Sat, 03 Feb 2007 08:03:44 -0600, Jbuch wrote:
There seems to be SOME truth to the groundhog story, but only SOME. The groundhog stuff is pure bull****. Where I live (Ontario), "six more weeks of winter" would be a frigging blessing. It would mean spring would be here in the middle of March. There is no way that happens. We usually have to wait 'til the middle of April. Jo Anne |
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